COPA AMERICA – 27-June-2007

[themadactuarian]

Greetings,

Tempation to select Uruguay yesterday was strong. Not sure how I managed to stay away. Hope that the Brazil vs Mexico game does not fit into that category. It would certainly surprise me that post-Gold Cup Mexico suddenly puts it all together on defense and offense, for surprising result against the mighty B.

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:country-region><st1lace>Chile</st1lace></st1:country-region> vs <st1:country-region><st1lace>Ecuador</st1lace></st1:country-region><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
<st1:Street><st1:address>Chile PK</st1:address></st1:Street> -119 (5.5 units)
Ecuador today, and Brazil on July 1st. I would tend to believe that Chile's best chance for the W is today.
<o> </o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Brazil</st1lace></st1:country-region> vs <st1:country-region><st1lace>Mexico</st1lace></st1:country-region><o></o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Brazil</st1lace></st1:country-region> -1 -114 (3 units)<o></o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Brazil</st1lace></st1:country-region> over 2.5 and 3 +118 (3 units)

Best of Luck,

MA

PS - Anyone else like Colombia for Tomorrow?
And first half Argentina -0.5

 

[Taparosca]

Hate to see you on the other side but the good thing is that at least one of us will win, GL buddy.

BOL!!!

PS: Tough match tomorrow between colombia and paraguay i think i ll stay away from any side, maybe i will play the over 2. Argentina all the way!!!!

 

[themadactuarian]

Hate to see you on the other side but the good thing is that at least one of us will win, GL buddy.

BOL!!!

PS: Tough match tomorrow between colombia and paraguay i think i ll stay away from any side, maybe i will play the over 2. Argentina all the way!!!!

Best of Luck TR,

I hope Argentina starts strong and finishes strong. Off the topic, I hope Uruguay can rebound.

MA

 

[DonMelchor]

BOL sir...

again on different sides, but wish you well...:toast:

 

[DonMelchor]

Just saw a stat, that in the last 12 matches 10 wins for Chile, 1 draw and 1 victory for Ecuador, 40 goals for Chile and 12 for Ecuador.......

 

[themadactuarian]

Greetings,

Tempation to select Uruguay yesterday was strong. Not sure how I managed to stay away. Hope that the Brazil vs Mexico game does not fit into that category. It would certainly surprise me that post-Gold Cup Mexico suddenly puts it all together on defense and offense, for surprising result against the mighty B.

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:country-region><st1lace>Chile</st1lace></st1:country-region> vs <st1:country-region><st1lace>Ecuador</st1lace></st1:country-region><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
<st1:Street><st1:address>Chile PK</st1:address></st1:Street> -119 (5.5 units)
Ecuador today, and Brazil on July 1st. I would tend to believe that Chile's best chance for the W is today.
Chile 3 Ecuador 2

<o></o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Brazil</st1lace></st1:country-region> vs <st1:country-region><st1lace>Mexico</st1lace></st1:country-region><o></o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Brazil</st1lace></st1:country-region> -1 -114 (3 units)<o></o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Brazil</st1lace></st1:country-region> over 2.5 and 3 +118 (3 units)
Mexico 2 Brazil 0


Best of Luck,

MA

PS - Anyone else like Colombia for Tomorrow?
And first half Argentina -0.5

1W-2L (-0.92 units)

I could throw you a sick actuarian stat that isolates the "suspicious death per capita" in Brazil, within the immediate 24hrs following a rare loss by the Brazilian National Team. I won't, as you no doubt are aware of this phenomenon.

Let us switch gears and consider the following:
4 points should be enough for mighty B to advance as a second place finisher. A more realistic scenario would see them win the next two for a six points gain, securing a spot for the elimination round. If you agree with this, you must still argue and commit to a statement such as: "then what the hell went wrong tonight!!!"

God knows! But consider the following "Holliwoody" scenario:
-Take the starting 11 for the mighty B, each with an average 9.2 immediate relatives.
-Forward sufficient funds to the above-mentioned's immediate circle with instruction for wager on Mexico. Actually, this transaction would not be limited to the starting 11, but the whole roster. From Dunga to the massage therapists, everyone on the list would profit. (Take it as a 65 million $ joke of a scam, worthy of a "Ocean's 14" script).

I know, I know, it's far-fetched. However, consider Mexico's lacklustre Gold Cup performance against the US in the final. Yes, let us give the win (somehow) to the american boys. No matter, we will be different against Brazil....because now it means so much more...

 

[hm2.0]

It's been a wild & unpredictable Copa America so far. You'll get on track, gl2u.

 

[rolltide]

yeah that's some conspiracy theory all right. Fact is that Hugo's system is starting to work and Mexico are getting better each game. What you call a "lacklustre Gold Cup performance" in the final I'm not grasping at all. They were actually very good in the first half, should have easily been up a couple. This Mexican team have now been playing and practicing together for a month, and it shows.

Brazil, on the other hand, are using a squad that has not played at all together. Even the recent friendly vs England was played with a number of guys that weren't on the field last night (Ronaldinho, Kaka, Naldo, Daniel). Still, they dominated the final 30-35 minutes coming close several times including a crossbar.

and if they really wanted to bet against themselves they would not have chosen Mexico at +400 when they could have Chile or Ecuador at much more attractive prices

 

[themadactuarian]

Greetings,

(Group C - 28-June-2007)

Argentina vs USA
Argentina –0.5 –128 [1<SUP>st</SUP> Half] – (6 units)
Argentina –1.5 +100 (3 units)

Colombia vs Paraguay
Colombia pk and –0.5 +104 (5.5 units)
Colombia under 2.5 –144 (3.5 units)


Best of Luck,

MA

 

[Taparosca]

Tail you on the argentina 1st half, gl buddy!!!

 

[themadactuarian]

Greetings,

(Group C - 28-June-2007)

Argentina vs USA
Argentina –0.5 –128 [1<SUP>st</SUP> Half] – (6 units)
Argentina –1.5 +100 (3 units)
Argentina 4 USA 1

Colombia vs Paraguay
Colombia pk and –0.5 +104 (5.5 units)
Colombia under 2.5 –144 (3.5 units)
Paraguay 5 Colombia 0
(last ten minutes were absolutely brutal)

YTD: 2W-5L (-16.14 units)


Best of Luck,


MA

Saturday, June 30th
Uruguay vs Bolivia
Uruguay -1 -110 (5 units)

Peru vs Venezuela
Peru pk and +0.5 -119 (6.5 units)

Sunday, July 1st
Mexico vs Ecuador
Mexico -0.5 +105 (7.5 units)

Mexico over 2.5 -106 (4 units)

I'm getting smoked. If I survive these, I'll play the Group A games on the 3rd of July.

Good luck,

MA

 

[Taparosca]

GL buddy im still thinking about those games!!!!

 

[themadactuarian]

Saturday, June 30th
Uruguay vs Bolivia
Uruguay -1 -110 (5 units)
Uruguay 1 Bolivia 0


Peru vs Venezuela
Peru pk and +0.5 -119 (6.5 units)
Venezuela 2 Peru 0


Sunday, July 1st
Mexico vs Ecuador
Mexico -0.5 +105 (7.5 units)

Mexico over 2.5 -106 (4 units)
Mexico 2 Ecuador 1


I'm getting smoked. If I survive these, I'll play the Group A games on the 3rd of July.

Good luck,

MA

2W-1L-1T (+4.14 units)

YTD: 4W-6L-1T (-12.00 units)

Tuesday, July 03, 2007

Copa America

Peru vs Bolivia
Bolivia +0.5 +125 (3.5 units)
First Half: Bolivia pk and +0.5 -106 (3 units)

Venezuela vs Uruguay
Uruguay pk -120 (7.5 units)
Uruguay pk and -0.5 +119 (3.5 units)
Uruguay OVER 2.5 +104 (4 units)
First half: Uruguay vs Venezuela over 1 -103 (3 units)

Under 20 World Championship

USA vs Poland
Poland pk -128 (3 units)

Czeck Republick vs Korea DPR
Czeck Republick -0.5 -122 (5 units)

Brazil vs Korea Republic
Brazil over 2.5 -128 (3 units)

Anyone watch that extra time fiasco between Austria vs Congo...ref almost gift wrapped it for the Austrians.

Good luck,

MA

 

[themadactuarian]

Looks like I got two fires to somehow put-out, with very little water..

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:date Month="7" Day="5" Year="2007">Thursday, July 05, 2007</st1:date>
<st1:date Month="7" Day="5" Year="2007"></st1:date><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o> </o>
Under 20 World Cup – YTD: 1W-2L (-6.94 units)<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Portugal</st1lace></st1:country-region> vs <st1:country-region><st1lace>Mexico</st1lace></st1:country-region><o></o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Portugal</st1lace></st1:country-region> pk +106 (3.5 units)<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Canada</st1lace></st1:country-region> vs <st1:country-region><st1lace>Austria</st1lace></st1:country-region><o></o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Canada</st1lace></st1:country-region> under 2.5 -127 (3 units)<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Chile</st1lace></st1:country-region> vs <st1:country-region><st1lace>Congo</st1lace></st1:country-region><o></o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Chile</st1lace></st1:country-region> over 2.5 -103 (5.5 units)<o></o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Chile</st1lace></st1:country-region> -0.5 and -1 -116 (5.5 units)<o></o>
<o> </o>
COPA <st1:country-region><st1lace>AMERICA</st1lace></st1:country-region> – YTD: 6W-9L-3T (-13.47 units)<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>USA</st1lace></st1:country-region> vs <st1:country-region><st1lace>Colombia</st1lace></st1:country-region><o></o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Colombia</st1lace></st1:country-region> pk and -0.5 +102 (3.5 units)<o></o>
Correct me if I’m wrong: In Italy, <st1:City><st1lace>Cordoba</st1lace></st1:City> plays a physical centre-back. In this tournament he has been placed at the lateral, with the obvious expectations of bringing up the ball up the side (Cafu style). Sorry, I don’t think he’s suited for this role, as he does not have the true speed to get back and defend properly.
<o> </o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Argentina</st1lace></st1:country-region> vs <st1:country-region><st1lace>Paraguay</st1lace></st1:country-region><o></o>
<st1:country-region><st1lace>Argentina</st1lace></st1:country-region> -0.5 and -1 -111 (4 units)<o></o>
<o> </o>
Good luck,<o></o>
<o> </o>
MA<o></o>
<o> </o>

 

[rhinooooo]

Good luck with the plays MA. I just couldn't find an edge/feel comfortable with any picks in the U20's. Though, the Chile Over 2.5 looks good so I might tail on that. I wanted to take Gambia but their line has been hit pretty hard. It was -0.5 yesterday, now at -1.

You're right about Cordoba. He's a centreback but he plays at fullback occasionally for Inter Milan. Mainly in an emergency, or sometimes as part of squad rotation. Completely agree, he's not the type to really fit that role.

Good luck bro!

 

[Taparosca]

GL MAD we are on the same side today, hope we can cash some money today!!!!

Cordoba has made a couple of mistakes playing in a different role and he has been critized for that, also Jorge Luis Pinto for putting him in that role. There are too many internal problems in Colombia hope that this doesnt matter for today and that they can get the win.

GL !!!!!!!!!!

 

[themadactuarian]

GL MAD we are on the same side today, hope we can cash some money today!!!!

Cordoba has made a couple of mistakes playing in a different role and he has been critized for that, also Jorge Luis Pinto for putting him in that role. There are too many internal problems in Colombia hope that this doesnt matter for today and that they can get the win.

GL !!!!!!!!!!

Good luck TR,

Great entertainment value in Copa America, but so many surprising results.
Hope Colombia have enough pride to want to perform, and beat the USA.

 

[GreenDoberman]

U.S. put up a giant goose egg.:ughhh:

 

[themadactuarian]

U.S. put up a giant goose egg.:ughhh:

GD,

So be it.

Arg / Par should be more entertaining.

Good luck!

 

[rhinooooo]

Great card MA. You went 5-1. Much appreciation for that Chile over play as I tailed.